Race15 Handicaps

As shown in the graph, the latest update to Sheer Force's time correction factor almost takes us full circle to the handicap we had at the start of the series. This is the price of doing well, obviously!

Several yachts were penalised more than Sheer Force in the latest corrections. These were Obsession, Anthanta IV, Sundowner V, Chloe III and Symbiosis, for that we can be thankful, and we are now planted in the middle of our peer group. We have to beat Anthanta, Sundowner by up to a minute, and Distraction and Amon Ra by more. Chloe, Panacea and Farr Lap have to beat Sheer Force by up to two minutes.

**7878	SAILORS WITH DISABILITIES	-19.266
*8001	PANTHER	-15.798
*6095	UPLIFT	-13.212
*6900	X3	-11.592
*6175	LOVE BYTE	-9.678
*8301	CADENZA	-9.576
2999	OBSESSION	-9.492
6155	GETAWAY SAILING.COM	-9.048
*5382	TOCCATA	-6.750
*2020	SPEARHEAD	-5.646
4970	AKELA	-4.920
*KA400	SCARLETT O'HARA	-4.224
**6999	TALON	-3.744
*8004	DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	-3.372
*6472	SYMBIOSIS	-2.958
*6279	SUMMERSALT	-2.778
*7404	CHANCELLOR	-2.712
*4208	FARR LAP	-1.914
*80808	PANACEA	-1.242
*MH163	CHLOE III	-0.702
4037	SHEER FORCE	0.000
*316	ANTHANTA VI	0.102
*6182	SUNDOWNER V	0.468
*MH304	DISTRACTION	1.278
*5665	AMON RA	2.820

The pointscores are very close, especially the "lite" series which Sheer Force can win by finishing one place ahead of Chloe III on corrected times (making sure we are not caught by anyone behind us). It's difficult to win the full season pointscore in this last race because we are 6 points behind Spearhead, and our drops are 4 points worse. (But we can win if we finish 1st, and Spearhead is 11th or worse.) We only have to beat Symbiosis on handicap to hold second place, but Chloe is threatening us from only 5 points behind us, with a 2 points favourable drop position, so we are vulnerable.

Race14 Results

Fantastic! Sheer Force's 2nd place on corrected time while our master tactician was otherwise occupied on the Champs d'Elysee was a great source of joy for the crew, including the broken footed Clare. After the handicap factors were applied, we were 1m05 behind Sundowner V, although only 20secs behind her on the water.

This great result, achieved in a 10kn north-easterly, will keep us in equal 2nd place on 50pts in the main pointscore (with Symbiosis) when the points are updated. Our hoped for equal first place will not eventuate, because Spearhead, having come 15th on corrected times, will only add 8pts due to her drop situation, and will retain 1st place on 44pts. The main pointscore is close with only one race to go, but the "lite" pointscore is much closer. Sheer Force will be in 2nd place, only one point behind Chloe III, and one point ahead of Spearhead.

The table below shows the top 4 places in each of the expected pointscores after Race 14.

Points after Race14	Points	Place	Lowest Drop
SPEARHEAD	44	1	9
SYMBIOSIS	50	2	13
SHEER FORCE	50	2	13
CHLOE III	55	4	11
Pointscore "Lite"
CHLOE III	14	1	9
SHEER FORCE	15	2	8
SPEARHEAD	16	3	15
SYMBIOSIS	25	4	13

We rarely lead Farr Lap on the way back after the top mark, so the attached photo is included to attest to that. On the water, Sheer Force finished 18th out of 22. That fleet was the biggest in the series so far, and we crossed the line ahead of (unexpected by the handicapper) Farr Lap, Chancellor and Talon, as well as Anthanta IV (expected). Sundowner V, which we should have beaten by the handicapper's judgment, trailed us for a while, but passed us on the run to the line and won on handicap.

It was a bad race for the handicapper, with many yachts finishing way differently to their predictions. Even worse, the spread of corrected times (15m11) was greater than the spread of elapsed times (13m22), giving a negative score of -14%! This was mainly due a particularly slow race by the highest rated yacht CMC Markets (getawaysailing.com) which got the rare double of getting the gun (13mins ahead of Sheer Force) but coming last on corrected times, 9 mins behind 2nd last Panther. Not a good race for the biggest yachts. Maybe they lost time looking for the YA buoy at Lady Bay?

The table below gives the results sorted into the order across the finish line.

Results Race14	Elapsed	Outright	Handicap	Diff fm	Mins	Rel to
	Time	Place	Predict	Fleet	behind	Sheer
			Place	Average	winner	Force
CMC MARKETS	0:56:57	1	1	-8.4	0:00:00	0:12:47
PANTHER	0:58:28	2	2	-6.9	0:01:31	0:11:16
UPLIFT	0:58:53	3	3	-6.5	0:01:56	0:10:51
LOVE BYTE	0:59:57	4	6	-5.4	0:03:00	0:09:47
OBSESSION	1:00:27	5	7	-4.9	0:03:30	0:09:17
CADENZA	1:00:30	6	5	-4.8	0:03:33	0:09:14
NEXT	1:02:31	7	4	-2.8	0:05:34	0:07:13
TOCCATA	1:03:05	8	8	-2.3	0:06:08	0:06:39
SCARLETT O'HARA	1:06:07	9	12	0.8	0:09:10	0:03:37
LEONARDO	1:06:08	10	9	0.8	0:09:11	0:03:36
AKELA	1:06:19	11	11	1.0	0:09:22	0:03:25
SPEARHEAD	1:06:21	12	10	1.0	0:09:24	0:03:23
SYMBIOSIS	1:06:35	13	17	1.2	0:09:38	0:03:09
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	1:08:02	14	15	2.7	0:11:05	0:01:42
SUMMERSALT	1:08:14	15	16	2.9	0:11:17	0:01:30
CHLOE III	1:09:18	16	19	4.0	0:12:21	0:00:26
SUNDOWNER V	1:09:24	17	22	4.1	0:12:27	0:00:20
SHEER FORCE	1:09:44	18	20	4.4	0:12:47	0:00:00
CHANCELLOR	1:09:57	19	14	4.6	0:13:00	0:00:13
TALON	1:10:05	20	13	4.7	0:13:08	0:00:21
ANTHANTA VI	1:10:19	21	21	5.0	0:13:22	0:00:35
FARR LAP	1:10:19	22	18	5.0	0:13:22	0:00:35
	Corrected	Corrected
	Time	Position
CMC MARKETS	1:19:43	22
PANTHER	1:10:59	21
UPLIFT	1:08:41	14
LOVE BYTE	1:06:05	6
OBSESSION	1:06:12	7
CADENZA	1:06:54	9
NEXT	1:09:28	17
TOCCATA	1:06:27	8
SCARLETT O'HARA	1:07:03	10
LEONARDO	1:09:33	18
AKELA	1:08:14	13
SPEARHEAD	1:08:58	15
SYMBIOSIS	1:05:52	5
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	1:08:04	11
SUMMERSALT	1:08:07	12
CHLOE III	1:05:50	4
SUNDOWNER V	1:04:32	1
SHEER FORCE	1:05:37	2
CHANCELLOR	1:10:18	19
TALON	1:10:33	20
ANTHANTA VI	1:05:46	3
FARR LAP	1:09:11	16

Race14 Handicaps

Ouch! The handicapper has delivered Sheer Force a hard blow, with a steep increase in our TCF (time correction factor) for Race 14. The graph tells the story of how the steady easing of our TCF has been severely interrupted! This change amounts to half a minute when times are corrected.

The table below shows the effect of our new handicap when converted to minutes on the assumption of a race duration of 60mins. Our peer group (defined by me as yachts expected to finish within 2mins of Sheer Force) has been shuffled a bit. To beat them on handicap, Panacea has to beat us by 86secs, and Chloe III by 32secs. We have to beat Anthanta IV by 20secs, Sundowner V by 40secs, and Distraction by 64secs. We have to beat Amon Ra by more than 2mins, the biggest start we have given any yacht all series!

**7878	SAILORS WITH DISABILITIES	-19.464
*8001	PANTHER	-16.380
*6095	UPLIFT	-13.524
*6900	X3	-11.790
*8301	CADENZA	-9.894
*6175	LOVE BYTE	-9.672
2999	OBSESSION	-9.246
6155	GETAWAY SAILING.COM	-9.246
*5382	TOCCATA	-6.750
*2020	SPEARHEAD	-5.910
4970	AKELA	-5.280
*KA400	SCARLETT O'HARA	-4.380
**6999	TALON	-3.942
*7404	CHANCELLOR	-3.846
*8004	DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	-3.576
*6279	SUMMERSALT	-3.444
*6472	SYMBIOSIS	-2.892
*4208	FARR LAP	-2.574
*80808	PANACEA	-1.440
*MH163	CHLOE III	-0.534
4037	SHEER FORCE	0.000
*316	ANTHANTA VI	0.336
*6182	SUNDOWNER V	0.666
*MH304	DISTRACTION	1.080
*5665	AMON RA	2.622

 

Thanks to our great result in Race 13, the pointscores are close. In the main pointscore, we are only 13 points behind leader Spearhead, and in the "lite" pointscore, we are only 3 points behind Chloe III.

Race13 Results

The long wait for the results last night was put down to the very large field in RANSA's Race13 in the 2006/07 Twilights (63 yachts), and the time it took to record the times on the Committee Boat, and to process the results. Eventually, only Clare and I were there to celebrate Sheer Force's first place on corrected times, and to top that off, we won the meat tray raffle as well!

Race13 was the slowest so far (1hr12), and with sunsets now getting earlier each week, it's why I was suddenly wondering about the time limit as we came back down the harbour. But we made it with plenty of time to spare.

Our corrected time win was comfortable. We were 48secs ahead of Spearhead, who was in turn 58secs ahead of Summersalt. Sheer Force's elapsed time was 2.86mins slower than the average for the Division 1 fleet, so as shown in the chart, that performance puts us in line for a place on corrected times. As it turned out, it was first place!

This great result will promote us from 6th place in the pointscore up to 3rd place, 12 points behind the leader Spearhead, with two pointscore races to go. The table below is for the full series pointscore. In the "lite" (post-Christmas) pointscore, we will now be in second place!

Points after Race13	Points	Place	Lowest Drop
SPEARHEAD	36	1	8
SYMBIOSIS	45	2	13
SHEER FORCE	48	3	13
CHLOE III	51	4	11
PANTHER	51	4	10
SUMMERSALT	55	6	24
ANTHANTA VI	58	7	16
CADENZA	61	8	11
FARR LAP	65	9	24
SCARLETT O'HARA	70	10	24
TOCCATA	71	11	16
SUNDOWNER V	83	12	24
AMON RA	90	13	15
LOVE BYTE	95	14	24
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	100	15	17
GETAWAY SAILING.COM	103	16	24
UPLIFT	115	17	24
OBSESSION	131	18	24
PANACEA	137	19	24
X3	164	20	24
AKELA	170	21	24
CHANCELLOR	173	22	24
DISTRACTION	202	23	24

On elapsed times, Sheer Force finished 16th out of 21, some 15:04 behind Panther, which got the gun as usual. The handicapper expected us to finish 20th in this field, so we did 4 places better than expected. So did Spearhead. To balance the unexpectedly good outright placings, Obsession, GetawaySailing.com and Bos Global were each 6 places worse than expected. The handicapper score was 56.2%, having reduced an elapsed time spread of 22:27 to a corrected time spread of 12:15.

The table below is, as usual, showing the finishing order of yachts across the line.

Results Race13	Elapsed	Outright	Handicap	Diff fm	Mins	Rel to
	Time	Place	Predict	Fleet	behind	Sheer
			Place	Average	winner	Force
PANTHER	0:59:58	1	1	-12.2	0:00:00	0:15:04
NEXT	1:03:26	2	2	-8.7	0:03:28	0:11:36
CADENZA	1:05:50	3	6	-6.3	0:05:52	0:09:12
LOVE BYTE	1:06:18	4	5	-5.9	0:06:20	0:08:44
SPEARHEAD	1:08:34	5	9	-3.6	0:08:36	0:06:28
TOCCATA	1:08:49	6	8	-3.4	0:08:51	0:06:13
LEONARDO	1:09:15	7	7	-2.9	0:09:17	0:05:47
AKELA	1:09:24	8	10	-2.8	0:09:26	0:05:38
OBSESSION	1:09:26	9	3	-2.7	0:09:28	0:05:36
GETAWAY SAILING.COM	1:09:27	10	4	-2.7	0:09:29	0:05:35
TALON	1:10:59	11	11	-1.2	0:11:01	0:04:03
SUMMERSALT	1:11:20	12	13	-0.8	0:11:22	0:03:42
SYMBIOSIS	1:12:21	13	15	0.2	0:12:23	0:02:41
FARR LAP	1:13:42	14	14	1.5	0:13:44	0:01:20
PANACEA	1:14:23	15	16	2.2	0:14:25	0:00:39
SHEER FORCE	1:15:02	16	20	2.9	0:15:04	0:00:00
CHLOE III	1:17:06	17	17	4.9	0:17:08	0:02:04
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	1:17:08	18	12	5.0	0:17:10	0:02:06
SUNDOWNER V	1:21:54	19	18	9.7	0:21:56	0:06:52
	Corrected	Corrected
	Time	Position
PANTHER	1:13:41	14
NEXT	1:16:41	17
CADENZA	1:12:07	8
LOVE BYTE	1:12:55	11
SPEARHEAD	1:10:46	2
TOCCATA	1:12:41	9
LEONARDO	1:13:10	12
AKELA	1:11:10	4
OBSESSION	1:16:49	18
GETAWAY SAILING.COM	1:16:25	16
TALON	1:11:30	6
SUMMERSALT	1:10:55	3
SYMBIOSIS	1:11:24	5
FARR LAP	1:12:52	10
PANACEA	1:11:47	7
SHEER FORCE	1:09:59	1
CHLOE III	1:13:21	13
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	1:17:11	20
SUNDOWNER V	1:16:56	19

Race13 Handicaps

RANSA's updating of the handicap time correction factors (TCF) has, after our middling performance in Race12, eased our factor just slightly. The chart shows how our TCF has generally been easing throughout the series, but it must be remembered that these adjustments are minor, and the full spread of our TCFs only represents one whole minute when converted to times.

Sailors with Disabilities remains the scratch yacht, but she hasn't raced yet. Panther is the effective scratch, expected to finish almost 18mins ahead of Sheer Force.

**7878	SAILORS WITH DISABILITIES	-19.968
*8001	PANTHER	-17.760
*6095	UPLIFT	-14.028
*6900	X3	-12.294
2999	OBSESSION	-10.422
6155	GETAWAY SAILING.COM	-10.056
*6175	LOVE BYTE	-10.026
*8301	CADENZA	-9.774
*5382	TOCCATA	-7.422
*2020	SPEARHEAD	-5.976
4970	AKELA	-5.568
*KA400	SCARLETT O'HARA	-4.884
**6999	TALON	-4.482
*7404	CHANCELLOR	-4.350
*8004	DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	-4.080
*6279	SUMMERSALT	-3.690
*4208	FARR LAP	-3.366
*6472	SYMBIOSIS	-3.252
*80808	PANACEA	-1.944
*MH163	CHLOE III	-1.128
*6182	SUNDOWNER V	-0.402
*316	ANTHANTA VI	-0.168
4037	SHEER FORCE	0.000
*MH304	DISTRACTION	0.576
*5665	AMON RA	1.734

The yachts that the handicapper expects us to finish with are from Panacea to Amon Ra in the above table, but to gain corrected time prizes, and to climb up the pointscores ladders, we have to be amongst Symbiosis, Farr Lap, Summersalt and Bos Global.

Race12 Results

In Race12, Nick's aerodynamic hairdo did not help much, and Sheer Force's elapsed time was 4.55 minutes slower than the average for the finishers, which is almostly exactly our average. We have to do more than 3 minutes better than this to place on corrected times. Last night, we were 4:22 behind the handicap winner Scarlett O'Hara, and 3:15 behind the 3rd place getter, on corrected times.

Sheer Force finished 12th outright out of the 19. so we beat a good number of yachts across the line, more than the handicap system predicted. The time correction factors predicted that we would have come 2nd last, so, in finishing 6 places ahead of expectations, this was a pretty good race for us. There were many other such discrepancies in this race: Chloe III and Symbiosis finished 5 places ahead of prediction. and 6 yachts crossed the line between 3 and 5 places behind their prediction. These placings are shown in the table below which, as usual, is in across the finish line order. Despite all these discrepancies, the handicapper did better than usual in reducing the outright time spread of 31:26 to a corrected spread of 12:05, a score of 62%.

Results Race12	Elapsed	Outright	Handicap	Diff fm	Mins	Rel to
	Time	Place	Predict	Fleet	behind	Sheer
			Place	Average	winner	Force
GETAWAY SAILING No2	0:45:24	1	1	-18.7	0:00:00	0:23:14
PANTHER	0:50:10	2	2	-13.9	0:04:46	0:18:28
TOCCATA	0:57:24	3	6	-6.7	0:12:00	0:11:14
CADENZA	0:58:35	4	4	-5.5	0:13:11	0:10:03
LOVE BYTE	0:58:59	5	3	-5.1	0:13:35	0:09:39
SPEARHEAD	0:59:34	6	8	-4.5	0:14:10	0:09:04
SCARLETT O'HARA	0:59:40	7	10	-4.4	0:14:16	0:08:58
LEONARDO	1:00:41	8	5	-3.4	0:15:17	0:07:57
SYMBIOSIS	1:02:00	9	14	-2.1	0:16:36	0:06:38
AKELA	1:03:46	10	7	-0.3	0:18:22	0:04:52
CHLOE III	1:06:59	11	16	2.9	0:21:35	0:01:39
SHEER FORCE	1:08:38	12	18	4.6	0:23:14	0:00:00
TALON	1:08:41	13	9	4.6	0:23:17	0:00:03
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	1:09:12	14	11	5.1	0:23:48	0:00:34
PANACEA	1:09:30	15	15	5.4	0:24:06	0:00:52
FARR LAP	1:12:23	16	13	8.3	0:26:59	0:03:45
RYA	1:12:32	17	12	8.5	0:27:08	0:03:54
SUNDOWNER V	1:16:33	18	17	12.5	0:31:09	0:07:55
AMON RA	1:16:50	19	19	12.8	0:31:26	0:08:12
	Corrected	Corrected
	Time	Position
GETAWAY SAILING No2	1:01:17	5
PANTHER	1:01:23	6
TOCCATA	1:00:33	2
CADENZA	1:03:51	8
LOVE BYTE	1:05:08	11
SPEARHEAD	1:00:57	3
SCARLETT O'HARA	0:59:49	1
LEONARDO	1:04:19	10
SYMBIOSIS	1:01:08	4
AKELA	1:05:23	12
CHLOE III	1:03:25	7
SHEER FORCE	1:04:11	9
TALON	1:09:11	14
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	1:09:14	15
PANACEA	1:07:06	13
FARR LAP	1:11:34	17
RYA	1:11:44	18
SUNDOWNER V	1:11:54	19
AMON RA	1:09:26	16

In predicting the pointscore after Race12, I have made certain assumptions. Firstly, I treated GetawaySailing.com as a non-starter, because the yacht by that name which competed last night is not the usual one. I don't imagine you can swap yachts in this pointscore! And, I gave Anthanta IV the 4 points for being duty yacht. Race12 has had virtually no effect on the pointscore sequence.

After Race11, Sheer Force was equal 5th with Anthanta, but her lesser points in Race12 means we will slip one spot to 5th. We will be on 47 points, and that will be 13 points behind the series leader Spearhead. There are two races in the pointscores to go, and the yachts above us have slightly better drop positions, so it's a tough ask to climb the ladder from here.

It can be done. For example, considering everyone's drops, if Sheer Force wins on handicap next week, we will overtake Chloe and Symbiosis if they come 9th or worse, Panther if she comes 7th, Anthanta if she comes 6th. We can't overtake Spearhead in one race.

Points after Race12	Points	Place	Lowest Drop
SPEARHEAD	34	1	8
CHLOE III	40	2	11
SYMBIOSIS	40	2	13
PANTHER	42	4	9
ANTHANTA VI	43	5	15
SHEER FORCE	47	6	13
SUMMERSALT	52	7	24
CADENZA	54	8	11
FARR LAP	56	9	24
TOCCATA	63	10	16
SCARLETT O'HARA	66	11	24
SUNDOWNER V	67	12	24
AMON RA	77	13	15
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	83	14	17
LOVE BYTE	85	15	24
GETAWAY SAILING.COM	89	16	24
UPLIFT	91	17	24
OBSESSION	116	18	24
PANACEA	131	19	24
X3	140	20	24
CHANCELLOR	148	21	24
AKELA	166	22	24
DISTRACTION	178	23	24

Race12 Handicaps

As predicted, Sheer Force's 4th placing in Race11 has led to us being penalised by the handicapper for Race12. The increase in our time correction factor (TCF) is shown most clearly in the graph. The only yachts which suffered greater increases in TCF were Anthanta IV (1st last week) and Bos Global (3rd last week).

That change has pushed Anthanta below us in the handicap list, when calculated in minutes relative to Sheer Force, so she now has to beat us to tie with us on corrected times (but there's less than a second in it!). Anthanta is duty boat this week, so she gets a gift 4 points if she doesn't race. Our peer group is the bottom 7 yachts in the table below. As previously, if we are to take out a prize, we need to finish amongst Symbiosis, Farr Lap, Summersalt and Bos Global.

**7878	SAILORS WITH DISABILITIES	-19.812
*8001	PANTHER	-17.310
*6095	UPLIFT	-13.872
*6900	X3	-12.138
2999	OBSESSION	-10.266
*6175	LOVE BYTE	-10.140
6155	GETAWAY SAILING.COM	-9.900
*8301	CADENZA	-9.282
*5382	TOCCATA	-7.182
4970	AKELA	-5.412
*2020	SPEARHEAD	-5.274
**6999	TALON	-4.326
*7404	CHANCELLOR	-4.194
*KA400	SCARLETT O'HARA	-4.038
*8004	DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	-3.924
*6279	SUMMERSALT	-3.534
*4208	FARR LAP	-3.210
*6472	SYMBIOSIS	-3.054
*80808	PANACEA	-1.818
*MH163	CHLOE III	-0.696
*6182	SUNDOWNER V	-0.246
*316	ANTHANTA VI	-0.012
4037	SHEER FORCE	0.000
*MH304	DISTRACTION	0.732
*5665	AMON RA	1.890

 

See you Friday!

Race11 Results

Coming 4th on corrected times is a great result for Sheer Force, but getting on the wrong side of Eagle Rock in our run to the line in Race11 certainly cost us 2nd place on corrected times, because our time was only 18 seconds behind the 2nd placegetter, Spearhead.

Sheer Force's 4th place will promote her to equal 5th in the full series pointscore when RANSA publish the revised figures, up from 9th. We will be only 8 points behind the leader. In fact, the Race has shaken the whole pointscore position up. Because they were non-starters, previous pointscore leader Sundowner V will plummet to 10th position, and previous 2nd position Uplift will plummet to 15th! These big moves occur because much of the field have points within a relatively tight spread. With only 4 races to go in the pointscore, many yachts are within string distance of first place, including of course, Sheer Force. The table below shows how the pointscore will look when published.

Points after Race11	Points	Place	Lowest Drop
SPEARHEAD	31	1	8
CHLOE III	34	2	11
SYMBIOSIS	36	3	13
PANTHER	37	4	9
SHEER FORCE	39	5	13
ANTHANTA VI	39	5	15
FARR LAP	42	7	24
SUMMERSALT	42	7	10
CADENZA	47	9	11
SUNDOWNER V	52	10	24
TOCCATA	61	11	16
AMON RA	64	12	15
SCARLETT O'HARA	65	13	24
GETAWAY SAILING.COM	65	13	24
UPLIFT	67	15	24
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	71	16	17
LOVE BYTE	76	17	24
OBSESSION	92	18	24
X3	116	19	24
PANACEA	120	20	24
CHANCELLOR	132	21	24
DISTRACTION	154	22	24
AKELA	156	23	24

In terms of outright positioning, Sheer Force finished 11th out of 15, and we were exactly 15 minutes behind Panther, which got the gun as usual. We were measured as 5 seconds ahead of Farr Lap, and 44 seconds behind Anthanta IV. Our time was a smidgeon under 4 minutes slower than the fleet's average which is almost a minute better than we usually do. In this particular field of yachts, the graph shows that we can be a placegetter if we cross the line better than 3-4 minutes slower than the entire fleet's average. Given that our average value for this statistic is 4.64 minutes (our best, 1.68 mins, our worst 7.80 mins), we need to beat our average race time by about a minute. The table below is, as usual, in the accross-the-line order.

Results Race11	Elapsed	Outright	Handicap	Diff fm	Mins	Rel to
	Time	Place	Predict	Fleet	behind	Sheer
			Place	Average	winner	Force
PANTHER	0:57:14	1	1	-11.0	0:00:00	0:15:00
CALIBRE	1:01:21	2	2	-6.9	0:04:07	0:10:53
LOVE BYTE	1:02:38	3	3	-5.6	0:05:24	0:09:36
CADENZA	1:05:18	4	5	-2.9	0:08:04	0:06:56
SPEARHEAD	1:05:26	5	6	-2.8	0:08:12	0:06:48
GETAWAY SAILING.COM	1:06:35	6	4	-1.7	0:09:21	0:05:39
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	1:07:33	7	9	-0.7	0:10:19	0:04:41
SUMMERSALT	1:08:49	8	8	0.6	0:11:35	0:03:25
PANACEA	1:10:27	9	11	2.2	0:13:13	0:01:47
ANTHANTA VI	1:11:30	10	14	3.3	0:14:16	0:00:44
SHEER FORCE	1:12:14	11	13	4.0	0:15:00	0:00:00
FARR LAP	1:12:19	12	7	4.1	0:15:05	0:00:05
SYMBIOSIS	1:13:19	13	10	5.1	0:16:05	0:01:05
CHLOE III	1:13:45	14	12	5.5	0:16:31	0:01:31
AMON RA	1:15:15	15	15	7.0	0:18:01	0:03:01
	Corrected	Corrected
	Time	Position
PANTHER	1:10:01	11
CALIBRE	1:07:42	5
LOVE BYTE	1:09:04	9
CADENZA	1:11:50	12
SPEARHEAD	1:06:42	2
GETAWAY SAILING.COM	1:13:15	15
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL	1:06:48	3
SUMMERSALT	1:08:09	7
PANACEA	1:07:53	6
ANTHANTA VI	1:05:53	1
SHEER FORCE	1:06:59	4
FARR LAP	1:11:52	13
SYMBIOSIS	1:12:18	14
CHLOE III	1:09:50	10
AMON RA	1:08:25	8

The actual finishing sequence did not match the handicapper's predictions very well. The discrepancies highlight the "unusual" performances. Farr Lap was the biggest surprise, passing the finish boat 5 places worse than expected. Anthanta IV was 4 places better than expected. Symbioisis was 3 places worse than expected. All the rest were within 2 places of prediction. Sheer Force was 2 places better than expected. My score for the handicapper in Race 11 was 59%, the 2nd best this series - the elapsed time spread was 18:01, and the corrected time spread was 07:22.

The new equipment went very well, and some more improvements are envisaged. The many tacks up the harbour gave the crew plenty of exercise, and provided a boost for David T's fitness program!