Seventeen finishers in Race04 made it the biggest of the series so far, and the average elapsed time of 1:06:51 is pretty close to the 1:00:00 I assume when making the handicap estimates. Sheer Force's 3rd place on handicap could have been 2nd place if we were 14 seconds faster, and 1st if we were 29 seconds faster. But we were well clear of 4th, by 1min23.
Sheer Force achieved this good result by being only 1.1 mins slower than the fleet average, compared to 7.8mins last week (9th corrected), and 4.8mins as predicted by the handicap. Sheer Force was placed 13 out of 17 accross the line. We were 12:41 behind the gun-getter Panther (which compares very favourably to the almost 16 minutes that the handicapper expect us to trail her).
Two yachts, Bos Global and Symbiosis finished less than a minute ahead of us (uncorrected), but the yachts behind us (Chloe III, Anthanta, Chancellor & Amon Ra) were well back (9 - 11 minutes) which is why we could hardly see them. Scarlett O'Hara only beat us by just over 2 minutes on the water. The table below shows Division 1 in finishing order.
Results Race04 | Elapsed | Outright | Handicap | Diff fm | Mins | Rel to |
Time | Place | Predict | Fleet | behind | Sheer | |
Place | Average | winner | Force | |||
PANTHER | 0:55:16 | 1 | 1 | -11.6 | 0:00:00 | 0:12:41 |
X3 | 0:58:14 | 2 | 2 | -8.6 | 0:02:58 | 0:09:43 |
LOVE BYTE | 0:59:46 | 3 | 4 | -7.1 | 0:04:30 | 0:08:11 |
GETAWAY SAILING.COM | 1:00:24 | 4 | 3 | -6.4 | 0:05:08 | 0:07:33 |
CADENZA | 1:02:59 | 5 | 6 | -3.9 | 0:07:43 | 0:04:58 |
SPEARHEAD | 1:04:15 | 6 | 8 | -2.6 | 0:08:59 | 0:03:42 |
SUMMERSALT | 1:04:26 | 7 | 11 | -2.4 | 0:09:10 | 0:03:31 |
FARR LAP | 1:05:32 | 8 | 13 | -1.3 | 0:10:16 | 0:02:25 |
SCARLETT O'HARA | 1:05:43 | 9 | 9 | -1.1 | 0:10:27 | 0:02:14 |
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL | 1:06:46 | 10 | 10 | -0.1 | 0:11:30 | 0:01:11 |
SYMBIOSIS | 1:07:24 | 11 | 12 | 0.6 | 0:12:08 | 0:00:33 |
TOCCATA | 1:07:28 | 12 | 5 | 0.6 | 0:12:12 | 0:00:29 |
SHEER FORCE | 1:07:57 | 13 | 14 | 1.1 | 0:12:41 | 0:00:00 |
CHLOE III | 1:16:49 | 14 | 16 | 10.0 | 0:21:33 | 0:08:52 |
ANTHANTA VI | 1:16:53 | 15 | 17 | 10.0 | 0:21:37 | 0:08:56 |
CHANCELLOR | 1:17:18 | 16 | 7 | 10.5 | 0:22:02 | 0:09:21 |
AMON RA | 1:19:11 | 17 | 15 | 12.3 | 0:23:55 | 0:11:14 |
Corrected | Corrected | |||||
Time | Position | |||||
PANTHER | 1:06:45 | 9 | ||||
X3 | 1:09:53 | 12 | ||||
LOVE BYTE | 1:05:42 | 5 | ||||
GETAWAY SAILING.COM | 1:07:04 | 10 | ||||
CADENZA | 1:08:23 | 11 | ||||
SPEARHEAD | 1:05:27 | 4 | ||||
SUMMERSALT | 1:03:50 | 2 | ||||
FARR LAP | 1:03:35 | 1 | ||||
SCARLETT O'HARA | 1:06:15 | 6 | ||||
DJ2 BOS GLOBAL | 1:06:22 | 8 | ||||
SYMBIOSIS | 1:06:16 | 7 | ||||
TOCCATA | 1:13:49 | 15 | ||||
SHEER FORCE | 1:04:04 | 3 | ||||
CHLOE III | 1:11:00 | 14 | ||||
ANTHANTA VI | 1:10:19 | 13 | ||||
CHANCELLOR | 1:18:55 | 17 | ||||
AMON RA | 1:13:59 | 16 |
The handicapper is not doing too well. The elapsed time spread was 23:55, reduced only 36% to 15:20 by the time corrections. Erratic performances made the handicapper look poor. This is highlighted by comparing the actual finish order with the handicap predictions. The eventual handicap winner, Farr Lap, had an exceptional race by crossing the line in 8th place, when it was predicted to be 13th. The eventual 2nd place on corrected times, Summersalt, was 7th outright, but was expected to be 11th. (We were expected to be 14th, but came in 13th.) At the other extreme, Chancellor was expected to cross the line 7th, but somehow only managed 16th. These discrepancies are evident in the above table, and are rather worse than usual, although the handicapper got the top order pretty right.
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